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Mark's avatar
Mar 1Edited

First and foremost - thank you for continuing this podcast as like many of us, you haven't given up over the last 12 years.

Regarding the barnacle age, I know you speak very highly of certain folks that you reference in relation to their thoughts on mh370. I was curious if they had a take on the barnacle age comparison. It would seem to me that even if the flaperon slid into the water six months before its discovery on La Réunion, there is still literally nothing it could have slid from in the remote Indian ocean and assuming it didn't sink and then come up to the surface later, it would have been seen by air in 2014.

Continue the fantastic work you do.

Jeff Wise's avatar

Thank you so much, Mark. A funny thing about the marine-life situation vis-a-vis MH370 is that marine biologists have all heard that the plane went into the ocean, so the idea that the flaperon might not have been in the ocean for more than 6 months seems as strange to them as it does to everyone else. They know that the barnacles are smaller than they should be, but it just seems peculiar.

Trip Barthel's avatar

Thanks for keeping the light on. In your bar graph you show a double peak. I was a quality control manager in a manufacturing facility. On one line couldn’t keep our process in control until I charted a bar graph of the individual readings and saw it had a double peak indicating two discrete populations. Have you mapped a complete population? From that you can get a standard deviation and assess probabilities. This would be much more meaningful than quoting percentages. Plus a graph would allow you to identify outliers.

Jeff Wise's avatar

Hi Trip, that's a really interesting idea, thanks for pointing it out. I think that with only 10 data points, you're not going to get a smooth curve no matter what. As I was trying to emphasize in the video, this is only very preliminary information to point us in vaguely the right direction, I think we'd need substantially more data before we had something that either looked like a normal or bimodal distribution (or whatever else it happened to be.)